The table below presents information on national population projections produced by National Statistical Institutes or relevant agencies of UNECE member countries, and by selected International Organizations (Eurostat and the United Nations Population Division).
The database was established in 2018 by UNECE and is one of the outputs of the UNECE Task Force on Communicating Population Projections, together with the Recommendations on Communicating Population Projections | UNECE (see also Demographic projections | UNECE)
The database was last updated in June 2022.
|
Country/ies to which the projection refers |
Organization |
Title of the projection |
Type of projection model used |
Year & month of dissemination |
Projection start date |
Projection end date |
Production frequency |
Sub-national geography |
Population concept |
Characteristics: Marital status |
Characteristics: Household type |
Characteristics: Citizenship |
Other characteristics/special projections |
Number and type of scenarios/variants |
Levels of prediction intervals |
Level of detail for age |
Age groups |
Maximum age or age group |
Level of detail for projection year |
Email address for direct contact by users |
Links to dissemination products |
Notes |
Last Modified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia | not given | cohort component | Not disseminated | 2011-10 | 2050 | de jure | no | no | no | no | 3 (low, medium, high) | n/a | age groups | 0-4, 5-9….90-94, 95+ | 95+ | single years (calculated) | international@armstat.am; info@armstat.am | Not published | Not published | 08 Aug, 2022, valente | ||
| Austria | Statistik Austria | Population projection for Austria and NUTS 2-regions by country of birth | microsimulation | 2022-12 | 2022-01-01 | 2100-12-31 | 1 year | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | no | no | Country of birth, immigrant status, elapsed time since immigration | 11 scenarios (main variant, 2 migration scenarios, 2 fertility scenarios, 2 mortality scenarios, growth scenario, ageing scenario, zero-migration scenario) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | single years (calculated) | philip.slepecki@statistik.gv.at; pauline.pohl@statistik.gv.at | https://www.statistik.at/statistiken/bevoelkerung-und-soziales/bevoelkerung/demographische-prognosen/bevoelkerungsprognosen-fuer-oesterreich-und-die-bundeslaender |
Sub-national geography: Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced on individual level) |
05 Jul, 2023, valente | |
| Belgium | Federal Planning Bureau |
Perspectives démographiques 2017-2070 Demographische vooruitzichten 2017-2070 |
cohort component | 2022-02 | 2021-01-01 | 2070-12-31 | annualy + specific update due to Covid & Ukraine | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | yes | yes | 1 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 1 year age groups | 120 | single years (calculated) | demo@plan.be |
https://www.plan.be/publications/publication-2205-fr-perspectives_demographiques_2021_2070_hausse_de_1_3_million_d_habitants_d_ici_a_2070_par_rapport_a_1_5_million_durant_les |
12 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Canada | Statistics Canada |
Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043). |
cohort component | 2019-09 | 2018-07-01 | 2068-07-01 (Canada); 2043-07-01 (Provinces and Territories) | 1 year | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | no | no | No. But projections of various characteristics are produced using a microsimulation model for external clients are available. | 9 (including 5 medium-growth scenarios with changing internal migration patterns) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | patrice.dion@statcan.gc.ca |
RESULTS https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/91-520-x/91-520-x2019001-eng.htm METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/91-620-x/91-620-x2019001-eng.htm |
20 Jun, 2022, valente | ||
| Canada | Statistics Canada | Projections of the Indigenous Population and Households in Canada, 2016 to 2041 | microsimulation | 2021-10 | 2016-05 | 2041 | 5 years | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | yes | no | Indigenous group; Registered Indian status; Highest level of schooling; Labor force participation; head-of-family status; | 3 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | jean-dominique.morency@statcan.gc.ca |
Results: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211006/dq211006a-eng.htm Methodology: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/17-20-0001/172000012021001-eng.htm |
20 Jun, 2022, valente | |||
| Canada | Statistics Canada | Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions, 2011 to 2036 | microsimulation | 2017-01 | 2011-05 | 2036 | 5 years | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | yes | Immigrant status and time elapsed since immigration; generation status; immigrant admission category; visible minority group; religion; mother tongue; highest level of schooling; labour force participation. | 7 main scenarios + 5 supplementary scenarios whose results are presented only in the appendix | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | jean-dominique.morency@statcan.gc.ca | Assumptions and Results: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-551-x/91-551-x2017001-eng.htm Methodology: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-621-x/91-621-x2017001-eng.htm | 20 Jun, 2022, valente | |||
| Canada | Statistics Canada | Language Projections for Canada, 2011 to 2036 | microsimulation | 2017-01 | 2011-05 | 2036 | 5 years | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | no | Immigrant status and time elapsed since immigration; generation status, mother tongue, language spoken most often at home; knowledge of official language; highest level of schooling; | 16 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | jean-dominique.morency@statcan.gc.ca | Assumptions and Results: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/89-657-x/89-657-x2017001-eng.htm Methodology: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-621-x/91-621-x2017001-eng.htm | 20 Jun, 2022, valente | |||
| Croatia | Croatian Bureau of Statistics | Population projections for Croatia 2015 | 2017-03 | 2015-01-01 | 2081-01-01 | 2-3 years | No (sub-national geography not available) | no | no | no | no | 5 (Eurostat's population projections are taken as official for Croatia) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100 | single years (calculated) | stat.info@dzs.hr | http://www.dzs.hr/Hrv_Eng/Projections/projekcije_stanovnistva_2010-2061.pdf | 28 Jun, 2022, valente | ||||
| Croatia | The Croatian Bureau of Statistics |
(EUROPOP2019 population projections for Croatia) Population projections of the Republic of Croatia, 2010 – 2061 |
cohort component | 2020-07 | 2019-01-01 | 2100-01-01 | 2-3 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de facto | no | no | no | n/a | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100 | single years (calculated) | mgrizelj@dzs.hr | https://podaci.dzs.hr/media/rrtpfgyn/projekcije_stanovnistva_2010-2061.pdf | Since Croatia's entry into the European Union, we have been using Eurostat's population projections as official. After the publication of the results of the 2021 Census, we intend to produce national and regional population projections again. | 15 Jul, 2022, grizelj | ||
| Czechia | Czech Statistical Office |
Population Projection of the Czech Republic to 2100; Population Projection for the regions of the Czech Republic to 2070 |
cohort component | 2018-11; 2019-11 | 2019-01-01; 2020-01-01 | 2101-01-01; 2071-01-01 | 5 years (at present - twice during the 10-year intercensal period) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | no | 4 (low, medium and high + medium scenario with zero migration); regional projections - 1 scenario corresponding to medium scenario at national level | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ and 95+ in regional projections for publishing | single years (calculated) | michaela.nemeckova@czso.cz, terezie.styglerova@czso.cz |
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/projekce-obyvatelstva-ceske-republiky-2018-2100, https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/projekce-obyvatelstva-v-krajich-cr-do-roku-2070 |
30 Jun, 2022, valente | ||
| Denmark | Statistics Denmark | Population projections | cohort component | 2022-05 | 2021-12 | 2060 | 1 year (yearly updates) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | yes | no | 1 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 125 | single years (calculated) | akf@dst.dk | http://www.dst.dk/en/Statistik/emner/befolkning-og-befolkningsfremskrivning/befolkningsfremskrivning http://www.statbank.dk/10022 http://www.dst.dk/en/Statistik/dokumentation/declarations/population-projections-for-denmark.aspx | 18 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Finland | Statistics Finland | Population projection 2021–2070 | cohort component | 2021-09 | 2020-12 | 2070 | 3 years | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | no | no | Area (municipality, region) | 1 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | single years (calculated) | markus.rapo@stat.fi; vaesto.tilasto@stat.fi | https://stat.fi/til/vaenn/2021/vaenn_2021_2021-09-30_tie_001_en.html (statistical release) https://stat.fi/til/vaenn/2021/vaenn_2021_2021-09-30_laa_001_en.html (quality description) https://pxnet2.stat.fi/PXWeb/pxweb/en/StatFin/StatFin__vrm__vaenn/?tablelist=true (databases) | 25 May, 2022, valente | ||
| France | INSEE | Projections de population 2021-2070 | cohort component | 2021-11 | 2021-01-01 | 2070-01-01 | 5 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | other | no | no | no | working population | 27 scenarios based on component method, including a baseline scenario and 26 variants; 3 additional scenarios (constant mortality, European fertility, zero migration) are also available. | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 105+ | single years (calculated) | insee-contact@insee.fr |
National datasets : https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques/5760764 Sub-national geography : https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/2546485#titre-bloc-3 |
30 Jun, 2022, valente | ||
| Germany | Statistisches Bundesamt | 14th coordinated population projection | cohort component | 2019-06 | 2018-12-31 | 2060-12-31 | ca. 3 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | no | 21 variants and 9 model calculations | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | single years (calculated) | demografie@destatis.de |
"https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Society-Environment/Population/Population-Projection/Publications/Downloads-Population-Projection/germany-population-2060-5124206199004.pdf?__blob=publicationFile https://service.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/index.html#!l=en Data base GENESIS-Online: https://www-genesis.destatis.de/genesis/online Tables under Number 12421" |
1. Population concept: de facto census population updated with register data. 2. Top-down approach at the level of assumptions. |
17 May, 2022, valente | |
| Hungary | Hungarian Statistical Office | Population projection for Hungary | cohort component | 2021-07 | 2022-01-01 | 2070 | Annual | No (sub-national geography not available) | other | no | no | no | no | 3 (low, medium, high) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | livia.varga@ksh.hu |
https://www.ksh.hu/interaktiv/korfak/orszag.html?lang=hu https://www.ksh.hu/docs/hun/xftp/stattukor/nepesedesi_vilagnap/2021/index.html |
Population concept: usually resident population |
01 Jun, 2022, valente | |
| Ireland | Central Statistics Office |
Population and Labour Force Projections 2017-2051 |
cohort component | 2018-06 | 2016-04 | 2051 | 5 years (post census) | No (sub-national geography not available) | other | yes | no | no | yes: Labour Force Projections | 6 (2 fertility scenarios and 3 migration scenarios) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 99 for single years of age and 85 for age groups | single years (calculated) | demography@cso.ie | https://www.cso.ie/en/statistics/population/populationandlabourforceprojections/ | The base population for these population projections is the 'usually resident' population from the Census conducted in April 2016. Therefore the first year for which the population has been projected is April 2017 | 17 May, 2022, valente | |
| Israel | Central Bureau of Statistics - State of Israel | Israel Population Projections 2015-2065 | cohort component | 2018-05 | 2015-12-31 | 2065-12-31 | 5 years | No (sub-national geography not available) | de jure | no | no | no | Population groups | 3 variants: low, median, high | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 95 | single years (calculated) | ahmadh@cbs.gov.il |
http://www.cbs.gov.il/reader/?MIval=cw_usr_view_SHTML&ID=811 Website is in Hebrew but excel files have English headers. |
These projections replace the previous projections (2010-2035). | 28 Jun, 2022, valente | |
| Italy | ISTAT | Previsioni della popolazione residente e delle famiglie - Base 1/1/2020 | cohort component | 2021-11 | 2020-01 | 2070-01 | 1 year (yearly updates) | Yes- bottom up (consistent with national geography & produced with bottom-up approach) | de jure | no | yes | no | no | n/a | Median, 90%, 80% and 50% prediction intervals | single years of age (calculated) | 110 | single years (calculated) | richieste.dati@istat.it |
PRESS RELEASE https://www.istat.it/it/archivio/263995 DATA https://demo.istat.it/previsioni2017/index.php?lingua=eng http://dati.istat.it" |
24 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Luxembourg | STATEC - Luxembourg | Projections macroéconomiques et démographiques de long terme | cohort component | 2017-11 | 2017 | 2060 | 5 years (approximate) | No (sub-national geography not available) | de jure | no | no | no | 4 scenarios | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 95 | single years (calculated) | francois.peltier@statec.etat.lu | https://statistiques.public.lu/fr/publications/series/bulletin-statec/2017/03-17-Projections-macroeconomiques-et-demographiques/index.html | 12 May, 2022, valente | |||
| Mexico | National Population Council |
Population Projections for México and states, 2016-2050 |
microsimulation | 2018-09 | 2015-01-01 | 2050-01-01 | 5 years (every time there is a census, count of population or intercensal survey) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | yes | no |
yes: ethnicity and language together (self-description and use of indigenous language) |
1 | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 109 | single years (calculated) | maria.muradas@conapo.gob.mx |
https://www.gob.mx/conapo/acciones-y-programas/conciliacion-demografica-de-mexico-1950-2015-y-proyecciones-de-la-poblacion-de-mexico-y-de-las-entidades-federativas-2016-2050 |
Mexico is outside the UNECE region but is included in the database as a member of the Task Force. | 30 May, 2022, valente | |
| Multiple countries (237 countries or areas) covered by the UN | United Nations |
World Population Prospects |
cohort component | 2022-07 | 2022-01-01 | 2100-12-31 | 2 year | No (sub-national geography not available) | de facto | no | no | no | no | 10 (medium and 9 other variants) | Median, 80% and 95% prediction intervals | single years of age (calculated)age groups | single years age groups | 100 | single years (calculated) | population@un.org |
https://population.un.org/wpp/ |
https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2019_Methodology.pdf https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/DataSources/ |
16 May, 2022, valente |
| Multiple countries (31) covered by Eurostat | Eurostat | EUROPOP2019 | cohort component | 2020-04 | 2019-01-01 | 2100-01-01 | 3 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | other | no | no | no | no | 5 variants | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100 | single years (calculated) | estat-users-support@ec.europa.eu |
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography/population-projections |
Population concept: usually resident population | 28 Jun, 2022, valente | |
| Netherlands | Statistics Netherlands | Population forecasts 2020-2070 | cohort component | 2020-12 | 2020-01 | 2070 | 1 or 3 years (depending on details) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | yes | yes | no | No | n/a | 1 scenario with surrounding confidence interval | single years of age (calculated) | 99+ | single years (calculated) | infoservice@cbs.nl |
http://opendata.cbs.nl/statline/#/CBS/en/dataset/84871ENG http://opendata.cbs.nl/statline/#/CBS/nl/dataset/70737ned http://opendata.cbs.nl/statline/#/CBS/nl/navigatieScherm/thema?themaNr=31770 https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/onze-diensten/methoden/onderzoeksomschrijvingen/korte-onderzoeksbeschrijvingen/prognose https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2017/51/prognose-18-4-miljoen-inwoners-in-2060 |
17 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Norway | Statistics Norway | Population projections / Befolkningsframskrivinger | cohort component | 2020-06 | 2020.02 | 2100 | 2 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | Various immigrant characteristics, such as origin area (3 country groups) and duration of stay | 15 (1 main variant - MMM- with medium fertility, life expectancy and immigration; 1 high and 1 low variant; 12 other variants with various combinations of fertility, life expectancy and immigration assumptions) | Probability intervals around the deterministic main variant - MMM - Median, 80% and 67% percent prediction intervals assumptions | single years of age (calculated) | 119 | single years (calculated) | nasjfram@ssb.no |
https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram https://www.ssb.no/en/befolkning/artikler-og-publikasjoner/norways-2020-population-projections |
12 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Poland | Central Statistical Office of Poland | Population Projection 2014-2050 | cohort component | 2014-10 | 2013-12 | 2050 | 5 years (approximate) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 1 + short summary of 3 alternative scenarios in publication | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | m.potyra@stat.gov.pl |
http://stat.gov.pl/obszary-tematyczne/ludnosc/prognoza-ludnosci/ |
19 May, 2022, valente | |||
| Portugal | Statistics Portugal |
Resident population projections 2018-2080 |
cohort component | 2020-03 | 2018-12-31 | 2080-12-31 | 3 years (approximately) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 4 (including one "No migration scenario") | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | single years (calculated) | info@ine.pt |
Results (English): https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_indicadores&indOcorrCod=0010035&&contexto=bd&selTab=tab2&xlang=en Press release (English): https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_destaques&DESTAQUESdest_boui=406537687&DESTAQUEStema=5414321&DESTAQUESmodo=2&xlang=en Methodological document (Portuguese): https://smi.ine.pt/DocumentacaoMetodologica/Detalhes/1590 |
Population concept: usually resident population. | 31 May, 2022, valente | |
| Romania | National Institute of Statistics of Romania | Projection of the Romanian population at the horizon of 2060 | 2014-10 | 2011 | 2060 | 5 years | no | no | no | Yes, active population | 4 (medium, pessimistic, optimistic and constant) | n/a | age groups | 85 | every 5 years | marcela.postelnicu@insse.ro |
Publication on paper support. http://www.insse.ro/cms/en/content/projection-romanian-population-horizon-2060 |
09 Jan, 2019, valente | |||||
| Russia | Federal State Statistics Service | not given | 2014-11 | 2014-01 | 2075 | 1 year (yearly updates) | Yes- not consistent (not consistent with national geography) | no | no | no | No | 3 | n/a | 100 | http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/population/demography/# | 02 Nov, 2018, sekulic | |||||||
| Serbia | Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia | Population projections of the Republic of Serbia 2011-2041 | cohort component | 2014-01 | 2011 | 2041 | 10 years | Yes- not consistent (not consistent with national geography) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 5 (low, medium, high, constant fertility-mortality variant and zero net migration variant) | n/a | age groups | 0-4, 5-9…, 80+ | 80+ | every 5 years | ljiljana.sekulic@stat.gov.rs | http://pod2.stat.gov.rs/ObjavljenePublikacije/Popis2011/Projekcije%20stanovnistva%202011-2041.pdf | 30 May, 2022, valente | |
| Slovakia | Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic | Population Projections of the Republic of Slovakia to 2060 | cohort component | 2017-11 | 2017-12-31 | 2060-12-31 | 5 years (ad hoc updates) | No (sub-national geography not available) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 3 (high, low, middle) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | vdc@infostat.sk |
http://www.infostat.sk/vdc/sk/index.php?option=com_content&view=category&layout=blog&id=14&Itemid=68 |
24 May, 2022, valente | |||
| Slovakia | Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic |
Population Projection for the regions of the Slovak Republic to 2040 |
cohort component | 2018-12 | 2018-12-31 | 2040-12-31 | 5 years (ad hoc updates) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 1 medium scenario | n/a | age groups | 0-4, 5-9….95-99, 100+ | 100+ | single years (calculated) | vdc@infostat.sk | http://www.infostat.sk/vdc/pdf/Krajokrprog2040.pdf | 24 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Slovenia | Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia | EUROPOP2019 population projections for Slovenia | 2020-07 | 2019-01-01 | 2100-01-01 | 2-3 years | No (sub-national geography not available) | no | no | no | No. Eurostat may publish sub-national geography. | 1 (Eurostat's population projections are taken as official for Slovenia. One scenario is published while Eurostat may publish more). | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100 | single years (calculated) | info.stat@gov.si | First Release: https://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/News/Index/8917 Database: https://pxweb.stat.si/SiStat/en/Podrocja/Index/100/prebivalstvo/?population-projections#297 | 12 May, 2022, valente | ||||
| Spain | National Statistics Institute of Spain | Population Projections 2020-2070 | cohort component | 2020-09 | 2020-01-01 | 2070 | 2 years (since 2014) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | yes | no | Country of birth (Spain / rest of the world) | 8 scenarios: central, high/low fertility, high/low net migration, combination of high/low effects, zero migration | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100 | single years (calculated) | sandra.martin.mazo@ine.es |
Population projections: https://www.ine.es/dyngs/INEbase/en/operacion.htm?c=Estadistica_C&cid=1254736176953&menu=ultiDatos&idp=1254735572981 Household projections: https://www.ine.es/dyngs/INEbase/en/operacion.htm?c=Estadistica_C&cid=1254736176954&menu=ultiDatos&idp=1254735572981 |
18 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Sweden | Statistics Sweden |
The future population of Sweden 2021-2070 |
cohort component | 2022-04 | 2021-12-31 | 2120 | 1 year (yearly updates) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | In the national projection: 5 groups of country of birth. In the regional projection: Born in Sweden/born abroad | 7- main alternatives and 6 with high and low fertility, migration and mortality. The alternatives are only made every third year | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 105 | single years (calculated) | demografi@scb.se |
Information in English: http://www.scb.se/be0401-en |
12 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Switzerland | Swiss Federal Statistical Office |
"Les scénarios de l'évolution de la population de la Suisse et des cantons 2020-2050 / Szenarien zur Bevölkerungsentwicklung der Schweiz und der Kantone 2020-2050 |
cohort component | 2020-05 | 2019-12-31 | 2070-12-31 | 5 years | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | yes | No | 3 scenarios and 9 variants | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 120 | single years (calculated) | raymond.kohli@bfs.admin.ch |
https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/en/home/statistics/population/population-projections.html https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/fr/home/statistiques/population/evolution-future/scenarios-suisse.assetdetail.14963222.html https://www.pxweb.bfs.admin.ch/pxweb/fr/px-x-0104000000_102/px-x-0104000000_102/px-x-0104000000_102.px |
16 May, 2022, valente | ||
| Türkiye | Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) |
Population Projections, 2018-2080 |
cohort component | 2018-02 | 2017-12-31 | 2080-12-31 | Normally, 5 years. Updates produced if necessary, according to the criterias of "TURKSTAT Revision Policy". | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 3 Scenarios (Main, high and low) | n/a | single years of age (calculated)age groups | 100+ | single years (calculated) | metin.aytac@tuik.gov.tr; dogukarakaya@tuik.gov.tr; neriman.can@tuik.gov.tr | News Release and Metadata(ENG): https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Kategori/GetKategori?p=nufus-ve-demografi-109&dil=2 | 07 Jun, 2022, valente | ||
| Ukraine | Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine | National Population Projections | cohort component | 2020-12 | 2020 | 2100 | not specified | No (sub-national geography not available) | de jure | no | no | no | The last sub-national projection was revised in 2009. It’s available at http://www.idss.org.ua/forecasts/region_pop_proj_en.html | Several (7) variants | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | single years age groups | 100+ | single years (calculated) | pavlo-shevchuk@ukr.net | http://www.idss.org.ua/forecasts/pop_proj_en.html | 24 Jun, 2022, valente | |
| United Kingdom | Office for National Statistics, UK | National Population Projections: 2018 | cohort component | 2019-10 | 2018-06 | 2118 | 2 years (currently) | Yes- top down (consistent with national geography and produced with top-down approach) | de jure | no | no | no | No | 19 (Principal and 18 variants) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 0 to 104 in single year of age, "105 to 109" and "110 and over" as age groups | single years (calculated) | projections@ons.gov.uk |
Statistical Bulletin: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2018based Table of contents, excel based tool containing links to all data: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/datasets/2014basednationalpopulationprojectionstableofcontents |
17 May, 2022, valente | ||
| United Kingdom | Office for National Statistics, UK | National Population Projections: 2020-based interim | cohort component | 2022-01 | 2020-06 | 2120 | One off production | No (sub-national geography not available) | de jure | no | no | no | The use of the term "interim" in the release title is to reflect the interval between the 2020-based principal projection and subsequent projections, which will incorporate Census 2021 data. It also recognises this as a period of uncertainty in the mid-2020 base year and in setting long-term demographic assumptions following the onset of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. | 1 Principal only | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 0 to 104 in single year of age, "105 to 109" and "110 and over" as age groups | single years (calculated) | projections@ons.gov.uk |
"Statistical Bulletin: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2020basedinterim Table of contents, excel based tool containing links to all data: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/datasets/2014basednationalpopulationprojectionstableofcontents" |
17 May, 2022, valente | ||
| United States | U.S. Census Bureau | 2017 National Population Projections | cohort component | 2018-09 | 2016-07-01 | 2060-07-01 | 2 to 3 years | No (sub-national geography not available) | no | no | no | Race, Hispanic Origin, Nativity (born in the US, or born outside of the US) | 4 (one main series, and three alternative immigration scenarios, high immigration, zero immigration, and low immigration) | n/a | single years of age (calculated) | 100+ | single years (calculated) | lauren.medina@census.gov; david.m.armstrong@census.gov | https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popproj.html | N/A | 12 May, 2022, valente |